2024 Presidential Election: Who’s Leading the Race?

538 Has Unveiled Its Forecast for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

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The Forecast Currently Shows a Slight Lead for Harris.

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There Is Uncertainty About How the Election Could Impact the Race.

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The Race Is Expected to Be Close, With Harris Showing Better Poll Numbers Than Biden Did a Month Ago.

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Harris Has Improved Margins in Northern Battleground States and Diverse Sun Belt States.

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Gains With Black, Latino, and Young Voters Could Be Decisive for Harris.

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Winning Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin Could Block Trump’s Path to Victory.

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Harris Also Needs to Lock Trump Out of Georgia or Nevada.

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