Big Shift! Nate Silver's Model Gives Trump Best Odds Yet

Donald Trump’s Chances of Winning the 2024 Presidential Election Have Reached Their Highest Level Since July.

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Nate Silver’s Election Model Currently Gives Trump a 60.1% Chance of Winning the Electoral College, Compared to Kamala Harris’ 39.7%.

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Trump Is Projected to Secure 277 Electoral Votes, While Harris Is Projected to Receive 260.

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Republicans Have Gained Between 0.1 and 2 Points in Most Swing States Over the Past Week.

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Despite Harris Leading in the Popular Vote, the Electoral College Outcome Remains Closely Contested.

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Trump’s Endorsement by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. May Have Impacted Harris' Expected Post-Convention Poll Bump.

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Experts Believe Polls May Be More Accurate This Year Due to Improved Methods for Capturing Likely Trump Supporters.

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