Princeton Election Consortium: Predictions You Can't Miss!

Democracy is currently fragile, making the stakes of elections more significant than ever.

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The "meta-margin" is a precise measure of the Presidential and Senate contests.

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The Presidential meta-margin crossed zero, indicating a close race.

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Precision in polling doesn't guarantee accuracy; past inaccuracies have led to unexpected outcomes.

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Until the meta-margin exceeds two points, the Presidential race remains uncertain.

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The meta-margin suggests a four-point movement towards Kamala Harris.

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The data from national polls shows a significant swing in favor of Harris since she entered the race.

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Modern political polarization has made such swings unprecedented.

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